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Matthew Paulson – Player Evaluation Report – TopVelocity.ai
Matthew Paulson

Matthew Paulson

USA 15 years old Born Jan 2, 2011 Eval: Mar 24, 2023
RHP TopVelocity Evaluation
64
Velocity
5'11"
Height
160
Weight
🤖

AI Velocity Analysis

Machine learning prediction based on 1,535 elite athletes

Camp Velocity
64
mph
AI Prediction
71
mph
Based on physical metrics
Difference
7.0
mph
Below prediction
Proficiency
8
%ile
Mechanics efficiency
💡
What this means: Needs work - large gap between potential and performance
There's potential to gain 7.0 mph through improved mechanics and training.

💪 Athletic Variables to Improve

Physical metrics that directly impact velocity. Focus on these for maximum gains.

Broad Jump +2.1 mph
Current 74.0" 3%ile
Goal 92.0" 33%ile
Lateral Broad Jump (Combined) +2.0 mph
Current 124.0" 3%ile
Goal 150.0" 33%ile
Vertical Jump +1.8 mph
Current 19.0" 4%ile
Goal 24.0" 34%ile
Vertical Jump 225 +1.8 mph
Current 14.0" 8%ile
Goal 18.0" 38%ile
Right Grip +1.8 mph
Current 90.0 lbs 17%ile
Goal 105.0 lbs 47%ile
Left Grip +1.8 mph
Current 95.0 lbs 28%ile
Goal 110.0 lbs 58%ile
10-Yard Sprint +1.5 mph
Current 1.850s 7%ile
Goal 1.700s 37%ile
Total Body Strength +1.4 mph
Current 270.0 lbs 7%ile
Goal 370.0 lbs 37%ile

🎯 Biomechanic Variables to Improve

Motion capture metrics from your throwing mechanics analysis.

Trunk Rotation Speed @ FFS +1.7 mph
Current 629.0°/s 67%ile
Goal 787.1°/s 95%ile
Trunk Flexion @ Ball Release +1.3 mph
Current 33.0° 60%ile
Goal 42.0° 90%ile
Arm Rotation Speed @ MER +1.1 mph
Current 794.0°/s 43%ile
Goal 952.8°/s 73%ile
Arm External Rotation @ FFS +1.0 mph
Current 76.0° 47%ile
Goal 89.9° 77%ile
Lead Knee Flexion @ FFS +0.9 mph
Current 39.0° 48%ile
Goal 55.3° 78%ile
Shoulder Abduction @ MER +0.7 mph
Current 1.0° 38%ile
Goal 3.0° 68%ile
Total Potential Velocity Gain: +20.9 mph → Target: 90 mph
Working Toward 90 mph
You need +26.0 mph to reach your target.
Improving to 90th percentile in the metrics above can provide +20.9 mph.
5.1 mph gap remaining
Consider setting an interim target of 84 mph first.
🎖️

TopVelocity Ranking

Based on the TopVelocity Evaluation System

Current Rank
Unranked
Youth Level 3 1/16 metrics
Youth Level 2 3/16 metrics
Youth Level 1 9/16 metrics
Vertical Jump 19.0 / ≥17.0
Broad Jump 74.0 / ≥72.0
10 Yard Sprint 1.9 / ≤2.1
Total Body Strength 270.0 / ≥200.0
Right Hip Internal Rotation 25.0 / ≥30.0
Left Hip Internal Rotation 30.0 / ≥30.0
Right Hip Extension 20.0 / ≥15.0
Left Hip Extension 20.0 / ≥15.0
Right Hip Flexion 70.0 / ≥80.0
Left Hip Flexion 60.0 / ≥80.0
Right Hip Abduction 40.0 / ≥45.0
Left Hip Abduction 40.0 / ≥45.0
Right Trunk Rotation 50.0 / ≥65.0
Left Trunk Rotation 50.0 / ≥65.0
Right Dorsiflexion 10.0 / ≥10.0
Left Dorsiflexion 15.0 / ≥10.0
📊 Performance Scores (Percentile)
🔄
53
Mobility
💪
49
Shoulder
11
Power
⚖️
24
Balance
🎯
55
Mechanics
🏆
38
Overall
📏

Anthropometric

3 metrics measured

37
Overall
71.0 in
in
Body Height
37th Percentile
Elite (90th): 75.0 in
Difference: -4.0 in
160 lbs
lbs
Body Weight
24th Percentile
Elite (90th): 216 lbs
Difference: -56 lbs
72.0 in
in
Wing Span
50th Percentile
Elite (90th): 76.0 in
Difference: -4.0 in
🔄

Mobility

23 metrics measured

53
Overall
10 °
°
Right Dorsiflexion
50th Percentile
Elite (90th): 19 °
Difference: -9 °
15 °
°
Left Dorsiflexion
75th Percentile
Elite (90th): 18 °
Difference: -3 °
50 °
°
Right Plantar Flexion
10th Percentile
Elite (90th): 75 °
Difference: -25 °
45 °
°
Left Plantar Flexion
5th Percentile
Elite (90th): 75 °
Difference: -30 °
25 °
°
Right Hip Internal Rotation
37th Percentile
Elite (90th): 40 °
Difference: -15 °
30 °
°
Left Hip Internal Rotation
50th Percentile
Elite (90th): 40 °
Difference: -10 °
60 °
°
Right Hip External Rotation
95th Percentile
Elite (90th): 54 °
Difference: ✓ Elite
50 °
°
Left Hip External Rotation
90th Percentile
Elite (90th): 50 °
Difference: ✓ Elite
20 °
°
Right Hip Extension
62th Percentile
Elite (90th): 25 °
Difference: -5 °
20 °
°
Left Hip Extension
50th Percentile
Elite (90th): 25 °
Difference: -5 °
70 °
°
Right Hip Flexion
19th Percentile
Elite (90th): 95 °
Difference: -25 °
60 °
°
Left Hip Flexion
5th Percentile
Elite (90th): 95 °
Difference: -35 °
40 °
°
Right Hip Abduction
25th Percentile
Elite (90th): 51 °
Difference: -11 °
40 °
°
Left Hip Abduction
25th Percentile
Elite (90th): 52 °
Difference: -12 °
70 °
°
Right Shoulder Internal Rotation
90th Percentile
Elite (90th): 70 °
Difference: ✓ Elite
70 °
°
Left Shoulder Internal Rotation
80th Percentile
Elite (90th): 80 °
Difference: -10 °
120 °
°
Right Shoulder External Rotation
90th Percentile
Elite (90th): 120 °
Difference: ✓ Elite
120 °
°
Left Shoulder External Rotation
95th Percentile
Elite (90th): 115 °
Difference: ✓ Elite
35 °
°
Right Shoulder Horizontal Abduction
90th Percentile
Elite (90th): 35 °
Difference: ✓ Elite
30 °
°
Left Shoulder Horizontal Abduction
75th Percentile
Elite (90th): 35 °
Difference: -5 °
45 °
°
Trunk Extension
75th Percentile
Elite (90th): 50 °
Difference: -5 °
50 °
°
Right Trunk Rotation
10th Percentile
Elite (90th): 75 °
Difference: -25 °
50 °
°
Left Trunk Rotation
25th Percentile
Elite (90th): 70 °
Difference: -20 °
💪

Strength & Power

11 metrics measured

11
Overall
19.0 in
in
Vertical Jump
7th Percentile
Elite (90th): 30.0 in
Difference: -11.0 in
14.0 in
in
Vertical Jump 225lbs
10th Percentile
Elite (90th): 24.3 in
Difference: -10.3 in
74 in
in
Broad Jump
5th Percentile
Elite (90th): 108 in
Difference: -34 in
62 in
in
Right Lateral Broad Jump
4th Percentile
Elite (90th): 86 in
Difference: -24 in
62 in
in
Left Lateral Broad Jump
4th Percentile
Elite (90th): 86 in
Difference: -24 in
1.850 s
s
10 Yard Sprint
6th Percentile
Elite (90th): 1.880 s
Difference: -0.030 s
270 lbs
lbs
Total Body Strength
8th Percentile
Elite (90th): 600 lbs
Difference: -330 lbs
90 lbs
lbs
Right Grip Strength
20th Percentile
Elite (90th): 130 lbs
Difference: -40 lbs
95 lbs
lbs
Left Grip Strength
33th Percentile
Elite (90th): 130 lbs
Difference: -35 lbs
342 W
W
Right Rotational Power
5th Percentile
Elite (90th): 973 W
Difference: -631 W
420 W
W
Left Rotational Power
19th Percentile
Elite (90th): 909 W
Difference: -489 W
⚖️

Balance

4 metrics measured

24
Overall
28 in
in
Right Y-Balance 2
15th Percentile
Elite (90th): 47 in
Difference: -19 in
33 in
in
Right Y-Balance 3
50th Percentile
Elite (90th): 46 in
Difference: -13 in
28 in
in
Left Y-Balance 2
15th Percentile
Elite (90th): 46 in
Difference: -18 in
28 in
in
Left Y-Balance 3
15th Percentile
Elite (90th): 47 in
Difference: -19 in
🎯

Shoulder Strength

4 metrics measured

49
Overall
219 °
°
Right Shoulder Flexion
96th Percentile
Elite (90th): 209 °
Difference: ✓ Elite
36 lbs
lbs
Right Shoulder Internal Rotation Strength
42th Percentile
Elite (90th): 55 lbs
Difference: -19 lbs
29 lbs
lbs
Right Shoulder External Rotation Strength
31th Percentile
Elite (90th): 49 lbs
Difference: -20 lbs
22 lbs
lbs
Scaption Right Back
25th Percentile
Elite (90th): 36 lbs
Difference: -14 lbs
⚙️

Mechanics

15 metrics measured

55
Overall
-10 °
°
Hip Shoulder Separation Before Leg Drive
4th Percentile
Elite (90th): 21 °
Difference: -31 °
24 °
°
Trunk Flexion Before Leg Drive
41th Percentile
Elite (90th): 32 °
Difference: -8 °
53 °
°
Drive Knee Extension Before Leg Drive
21th Percentile
Elite (90th): 70 °
Difference: -17 °
39 °
°
Left Knee Flexion Front Foot Strike
22th Percentile
Elite (90th): 58 °
Difference: -19 °
76 °
°
Dominate Arm External Rotation Front Foot Strike
51th Percentile
Elite (90th): 97 °
Difference: -21 °
27 °
°
Dominate Arm Shoulder Abduction Front Foot Strike
29th Percentile
Elite (90th): 45 °
Difference: -18 °
648 °/s
°/s
Pelvis Rotation Speed Front Foot Strike
86th Percentile
Elite (90th): 673 °/s
Difference: -25 °/s
629 °/s
°/s
Trunk Rotation Speed Front Foot Strike
74th Percentile
Elite (90th): 756 °/s
Difference: -127 °/s
187 °
°
Dominate Arm External Rotation Maximum External Rotation
93th Percentile
Elite (90th): 184 °
Difference: ✓ Elite
1 °
°
Dominate Arm Shoulder Abduction Maximum External Rotation
62th Percentile
Elite (90th): 9 °
Difference: -8 °
794 °/s
°/s
Dominate Arm External Rotation Speed Maximum External Rotation
69th Percentile
Elite (90th): 1238 °/s
Difference: -444 °/s
33 °
°
Trunk Flexion Ball Release
64th Percentile
Elite (90th): 42 °
Difference: -9 °
94 °
°
Dominate Arm Shoulder Abduction Ball Release
40th Percentile
Elite (90th): 105 °
Difference: -11 °
-7 °
°
Dominate Arm Shoulder Horizontal Abduction Ball Release
77th Percentile
Elite (90th): -2 °
Difference: -5 °
63 °
°
Dominate Arm Extension Ball Release
82th Percentile
Elite (90th): 70 °
Difference: -7 °

Pitch Metrics

1 metrics measured

6
Overall
64 mph
mph
Total Velocity
6th Percentile
Elite (90th): 86 mph
Difference: -22 mph
🎯

Brent Pourciau's Analysis

Road to 90

Personalized roadmap for Matthew Paulson

📊 The Overview
Alright Matthew, here's your Road to 90. You're currently sitting at 64 mph, which means you need about 26.0 mph to hit your target of 90. Your profile is in the 38th percentile overall, which means there's significant room to grow. The good news? Every improvement you make will translate to velocity.
🤖 What The AI Analysis Tells Me
Matthew, let me be real with you — this is actually exciting news. You're throwing 64 mph, but based on your physical metrics, the AI model says you should be around 71 mph. That 7.0 mph gap? That's not a problem — that's POTENTIAL. It means once we clean up your mechanics and movement patterns, you've got velocity sitting there waiting to be unlocked.
Your mechanics efficiency is at the 8th percentile — and honestly, this is where the opportunity is. Your physical tools are there, but your delivery isn't converting them efficiently. The good news? Mechanical improvements often come faster than physical gains. Once we optimize your sequencing and timing, you'll see immediate velocity jumps.
🎯 Your Biggest Opportunities
Based on the AI analysis, here are your biggest opportunities to add velocity:
Broad Jump +2.1 mph
Current: 74.0" (3th %ile) Target: 92.0" (33th %ile)
Why it matters: Your broad jump is one of the best predictors of pitching velocity because it measures your ability to produce horizontal force — exactly what you need off the mound.
How we fix it: The Stride Excelerator is perfect for this — it trains the exact horizontal force production pattern you use in your delivery. Combine that with plyometrics, bounds, and the TopVelocity Sled for resisted stride work.
Lateral Broad Jump +2.0 mph
Current: 124.0" (3th %ile) Target: 150.0" (33th %ile)
Why it matters: This measures your lateral power — critical because pitching involves a massive lateral push off the rubber before you rotate.
How we fix it: The Stride Excelerator trains this lateral drive pattern specifically. Combine it with lateral bounds and the TopVelocity Sled for lateral resisted work.
Vertical Jump +1.8 mph
Current: 19.0" (4th %ile) Target: 24.0" (34th %ile)
Why it matters: Vertical jump measures your explosive power — your ability to generate force quickly. This directly translates to how hard you can drive off the rubber.
How we fix it: The Impulse Ground Force Trainer develops your ability to create force into the ground explosively. Pair it with box jumps, depth jumps, and Olympic lift variations in the 3X Program.
These three priorities alone = +5.9 mph potential
⚙️ The Mechanical Side
The AI also identified some mechanical variables from your motion capture data. There's about +6.7 mph worth of mechanical improvements available. These are things like trunk rotation speed, pelvis rotation, and arm timing — exactly what the 3X Pitching Velocity Program is designed to fix. The Trunk Excelerator specifically trains that rotational sequencing, and the Stride Excelerator grooves the lower half mechanics. This is where the real velocity unlocks.
🏆 Can You Hit Your Target?
Let me be honest with you — getting to 90 mph is a big goal. The improvements I've outlined give you about +20.9 mph, which would put you around 84 mph. That's a great interim target. The remaining 5.1 mph will require elite-level development — we're talking about pushing past 90th percentile on multiple metrics. Set 84 mph as your first milestone, crush that, then we'll re-evaluate and map out the next phase.
🚀 My Recommendation
Based on everything I'm seeing here, here's what I recommend: The 3X Pitching Velocity Program is exactly what you need. This isn't just a throwing program — it's a complete system that addresses mechanics, strength, power, and motor learning all in one. Your mechanics efficiency score tells me there's velocity sitting on the table right now. The 3X Program will teach you how to sequence your body properly and transfer all that force into the ball. To accelerate your results, I highly recommend using the TopVelocity training devices that are built into the program: The Trunk Excelerator teaches you to generate and transfer rotational power through your core — this is where velocity lives. The Stride Excelerator builds explosive leg drive and proper stride mechanics, which is the foundation of the 3X approach. The Impulse Ground Force Trainer develops your ability to create force into the ground, and the TopVelocity Sled builds the specific strength patterns you need for a powerful delivery. These aren't gimmicks — they're tools designed to train the exact movement patterns that separate high-velocity pitchers from everyone else. Combine them with the 3X Program and you'll see results faster than training alone.
💪 Your Top Physical Priorities
The two biggest physical drivers for you right now are broad jump and Total Body Strength. Together, these account for about 5.6 mph of your velocity gap.
Broad Jump +3.1 mph
Current 74 in
Percentile 5th
Target 102 in
To Gain +28 in
Total Body Strength +2.5 mph
Current 270 lbs
Percentile 8th
Target 533.3 lbs
To Gain +263.3 lbs
🔧 Supporting Work
After that, it's about the supporting package: vertical jump, Left Lateral Broad Jump (power/stability), Body Height. These aren't the headline levers, but they raise the floor and make your mechanics easier to execute.
⚙️ Mechanical Focus
Mechanically, the key focus is Dominate Arm External Rotation Front Foot Strike and Dominate Arm External Rotation Speed Maximum External Rotation. Most of the energy to the ball comes through the trunk, so trunk acceleration and sequencing are the big rocks to move.
Dominate Arm External Rotation Front Foot Strike +0.2 mph
Current Percentile 52th
🎯 Your Action Plan
Movement Cues:
"Shin down, leverage, drive — use the ground."
Training Priorities:
Build Mass
Calorie surplus + structured strength phases. Mass equals gas — you need more raw material.
Explosive Power
Jump training (box jumps, bounds) + Olympic lift progressions (cleans, hang cleans). Train fast to be fast.
🚀 What's Next
At your age, development is rapid and everything helps. Train consistently across all areas — as your profile climbs, the plan will become more specific. Re-test every 3-4 months to track your progress.

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Achievement Milestones

Evaluated
🎖 Ranked
80+ MPH
🔥 85+ MPH
💪 90+ Club
🏆 Pro Level