Not Cached Load: 398ms
Mateo Ferguson – Player Evaluation Report – TopVelocity.ai
Mateo Ferguson

Mateo Ferguson

USA 25 years old Born Oct 2, 2000 Eval: Jan 11, 2026
LHP TopVelocity Evaluation
80
Velocity
5'11"
Height
189
Weight
🤖

AI Velocity Analysis

Machine learning prediction based on 1,535 elite athletes

Camp Velocity
80
mph
AI Prediction
82
mph
Based on physical metrics
Difference
2.1
mph
Below prediction
Proficiency
30
%ile
Mechanics efficiency
💡
What this means: Below average mechanics - significant improvement potential
There's potential to gain 2.1 mph through improved mechanics and training.

💪 Athletic Variables to Improve

Physical metrics that directly impact velocity. Focus on these for maximum gains.

10-Yard Sprint +1.5 mph
Current 1.660s 53%ile
Goal 1.570s 83%ile
Weight +1.5 mph
Current 189.0 lbs 60%ile
Goal 216.3 lbs 90%ile
Total Body Strength +0.8 mph
Current 490.0 lbs 79%ile
Goal 610.0 lbs 95%ile
Hip Rotation (R) - ER+IR +0.7 mph
Current 55.0° 14%ile
Goal 65.0° 44%ile
Hip Rotation (L) - ER+IR +0.7 mph
Current 70.0° 53%ile
Goal 80.0° 83%ile
Hip Extension (Combined) +0.6 mph
Current 35.0° 46%ile
Goal 44.0° 76%ile
Trunk Rotation (Combined) +0.5 mph
Current 110.0° 19%ile
Goal 120.0° 49%ile
RPF +0.4 mph
Current 65.0 52%ile
Goal 50.0 82%ile
Total Potential Velocity Gain: +6.7 mph → Target: 90 mph
Working Toward 90 mph
You need +10.0 mph to reach your target.
Improving to 90th percentile in the metrics above can provide +6.7 mph.
3.3 mph gap remaining
Consider setting an interim target of 86 mph first.
🎖️

TopVelocity Ranking

Based on the TopVelocity Evaluation System

Current Rank
Unranked
TopV Pro 1/16 metrics
Level 3 2/16 metrics
Level 2 8/16 metrics
Level 1 12/16 metrics
Vertical Jump 32.0 / ≥25.0
Broad Jump 108.0 / ≥102.0
10 Yard Sprint 1.7 / ≤1.8
Total Body Strength 490.0 / ≥500.0
Right Hip Internal Rotation 25.0 / ≥30.0
Left Hip Internal Rotation 45.0 / ≥30.0
Right Hip Extension 20.0 / ≥15.0
Left Hip Extension 15.0 / ≥15.0
Right Hip Flexion 90.0 / ≥80.0
Left Hip Flexion 95.0 / ≥80.0
Right Hip Abduction 50.0 / ≥45.0
Left Hip Abduction 50.0 / ≥45.0
Right Trunk Rotation 50.0 / ≥65.0
Left Trunk Rotation 60.0 / ≥65.0
Right Dorsiflexion 10.0 / ≥10.0
Left Dorsiflexion 10.0 / ≥10.0
📊 Performance Scores (Percentile)
🔄
56
Mobility
80
Power
🏆
68
Overall
📏

Anthropometric

3 metrics measured

64
Overall
71.0 in
in
Body Height
37th Percentile
Elite (90th): 75.0 in
Difference: -4.0 in
189 lbs
lbs
Body Weight
60th Percentile
Elite (90th): 216 lbs
Difference: -27 lbs
77.5 in
in
Wing Span
93th Percentile
Elite (90th): 76.0 in
Difference: ✓ Elite
🔄

Mobility

23 metrics measured

56
Overall
10 °
°
Right Dorsiflexion
50th Percentile
Elite (90th): 19 °
Difference: -9 °
10 °
°
Left Dorsiflexion
50th Percentile
Elite (90th): 18 °
Difference: -8 °
65 °
°
Right Plantar Flexion
62th Percentile
Elite (90th): 75 °
Difference: -10 °
60 °
°
Left Plantar Flexion
50th Percentile
Elite (90th): 75 °
Difference: -15 °
25 °
°
Right Hip Internal Rotation
37th Percentile
Elite (90th): 40 °
Difference: -15 °
45 °
°
Left Hip Internal Rotation
95th Percentile
Elite (90th): 40 °
Difference: ✓ Elite
30 °
°
Right Hip External Rotation
10th Percentile
Elite (90th): 54 °
Difference: -24 °
25 °
°
Left Hip External Rotation
5th Percentile
Elite (90th): 50 °
Difference: -25 °
20 °
°
Right Hip Extension
62th Percentile
Elite (90th): 25 °
Difference: -5 °
15 °
°
Left Hip Extension
25th Percentile
Elite (90th): 25 °
Difference: -10 °
90 °
°
Right Hip Flexion
75th Percentile
Elite (90th): 95 °
Difference: -5 °
95 °
°
Left Hip Flexion
90th Percentile
Elite (90th): 95 °
Difference: ✓ Elite
50 °
°
Right Hip Abduction
75th Percentile
Elite (90th): 51 °
Difference: -1 °
50 °
°
Left Hip Abduction
75th Percentile
Elite (90th): 52 °
Difference: -2 °
45 °
°
Right Shoulder Internal Rotation
42th Percentile
Elite (90th): 70 °
Difference: -25 °
45 °
°
Left Shoulder Internal Rotation
37th Percentile
Elite (90th): 80 °
Difference: -35 °
115 °
°
Right Shoulder External Rotation
82th Percentile
Elite (90th): 120 °
Difference: -5 °
115 °
°
Left Shoulder External Rotation
90th Percentile
Elite (90th): 115 °
Difference: ✓ Elite
40 °
°
Right Shoulder Horizontal Abduction
95th Percentile
Elite (90th): 35 °
Difference: ✓ Elite
35 °
°
Left Shoulder Horizontal Abduction
90th Percentile
Elite (90th): 35 °
Difference: ✓ Elite
30 °
°
Trunk Extension
25th Percentile
Elite (90th): 50 °
Difference: -20 °
50 °
°
Right Trunk Rotation
10th Percentile
Elite (90th): 75 °
Difference: -25 °
60 °
°
Left Trunk Rotation
50th Percentile
Elite (90th): 70 °
Difference: -10 °
💪

Strength & Power

8 metrics measured

80
Overall
32.0 in
in
Vertical Jump
95th Percentile
Elite (90th): 30.0 in
Difference: ✓ Elite
108 in
in
Broad Jump
90th Percentile
Elite (90th): 108 in
Difference: ✓ Elite
94 in
in
Right Lateral Broad Jump
95th Percentile
Elite (90th): 86 in
Difference: ✓ Elite
92 in
in
Left Lateral Broad Jump
96th Percentile
Elite (90th): 86 in
Difference: ✓ Elite
1.660 s
s
10 Yard Sprint
5th Percentile
Elite (90th): 1.880 s
Difference: -0.220 s
490 lbs
lbs
Total Body Strength
72th Percentile
Elite (90th): 600 lbs
Difference: -110 lbs
145 lbs
lbs
Right Grip Strength
95th Percentile
Elite (90th): 130 lbs
Difference: ✓ Elite
145 lbs
lbs
Left Grip Strength
95th Percentile
Elite (90th): 130 lbs
Difference: ✓ Elite

Pitch Metrics

3 metrics measured

39
Overall
1200 °
°
Spin Axis
10th Percentile
Elite (90th): 1200 °
Difference: +0 °
1863 rpm
rpm
Total Spin
45th Percentile
Elite (90th): 2178 rpm
Difference: -315 rpm
80 mph
mph
Total Velocity
62th Percentile
Elite (90th): 86 mph
Difference: -6 mph
🎯

Brent Pourciau's Analysis

Road to 90

Personalized roadmap for Mateo Ferguson

📊 The Overview
Alright Mateo, here's your Road to 90. You're currently sitting at 80 mph, which means you need about 10.0 mph to hit your target of 90. Your overall profile is solid at the 68th percentile. There are clear opportunities to improve, and targeting the right ones will get you to 90.
🤖 What The AI Analysis Tells Me
Mateo, here's your reality check. You're at 80 mph, and the AI model predicted 82.1 mph based on your physical profile. You're pretty much right where you'd expect to be. This means you're efficiently converting your athleticism into velocity — no major mechanical leaks, but also room to grow both physically AND mechanically.
Your mechanics efficiency is at the 30th percentile — there's definitely room to improve here. This isn't bad news, though. It means that as we work on your movement patterns and delivery, you'll see velocity gains without even getting stronger. The 3X Pitching Velocity Program addresses exactly this.
🎯 Your Biggest Opportunities
Based on the AI analysis, here are your biggest opportunities to add velocity:
10-Yard Sprint +1.5 mph
Current: 1.7s (53th %ile) Target: 1.6s (83th %ile)
Why it matters: Your 10-yard sprint measures acceleration — first-step explosiveness. Pitching is all about that initial burst of power, not sustained speed.
How we fix it: The TopVelocity Sled is built for this — resisted sprints that develop first-step explosiveness. The 3X Program includes specific sprint protocols to improve your acceleration.
Body Weight +1.5 mph
Current: 189.0 lbs (60th %ile) Target: 216.3 lbs (90th %ile)
Why it matters: Mass equals gas. Bigger athletes generally throw harder because they have more tissue to generate and transfer force. It's physics.
How we fix it: The 3X Program includes nutrition protocols for adding functional mass. Structured calorie surplus with adequate protein, paired with the strength training to make sure every pound you gain is useful.
Total Body Strength +0.8 mph
Current: 490.0 lbs (79th %ile) Target: 610.0 lbs (95th %ile)
Why it matters: Strength is the foundation everything else is built on. You can't be explosive if you're not strong first.
How we fix it: The 3X Program includes a complete strength protocol — squats, deadlifts, rows, presses with progressive overload. The TopVelocity Sled adds sport-specific strength that transfers directly to your delivery.
These three priorities alone = +3.8 mph potential
🏆 Can You Hit Your Target?
Let me be honest with you — getting to 90 mph is a big goal. The improvements I've outlined give you about +6.7 mph, which would put you around 86 mph. That's a great interim target. The remaining 3.3 mph will require elite-level development — we're talking about pushing past 90th percentile on multiple metrics. Set 86 mph as your first milestone, crush that, then we'll re-evaluate and map out the next phase.
🚀 My Recommendation
Based on everything I'm seeing here, here's what I recommend: The 3X Pitching Velocity Program is exactly what you need. This isn't just a throwing program — it's a complete system that addresses mechanics, strength, power, and motor learning all in one. Your mechanics efficiency score tells me there's velocity sitting on the table right now. The 3X Program will teach you how to sequence your body properly and transfer all that force into the ball. To accelerate your results, I highly recommend using the TopVelocity training devices that are built into the program: The Trunk Excelerator teaches you to generate and transfer rotational power through your core — this is where velocity lives. The Stride Excelerator builds explosive leg drive and proper stride mechanics, which is the foundation of the 3X approach. The Impulse Ground Force Trainer develops your ability to create force into the ground, and the TopVelocity Sled builds the specific strength patterns you need for a powerful delivery. These aren't gimmicks — they're tools designed to train the exact movement patterns that separate high-velocity pitchers from everyone else. Combine them with the 3X Program and you'll see results faster than training alone.
💪 Your Top Physical Priorities
The two biggest physical drivers for you right now are Body Height and Left Hip External Rotation. Together, these account for about 1.5 mph of your velocity gap.
Body Height +0.5 mph
Current 71 in
Percentile 38th
Target 72.8 in
To Gain +1.8 in
Left Hip External Rotation +1 mph
Current 25 °
Percentile 5th
Target 44 °
To Gain +19 °
🔧 Supporting Work
After that, it's about the supporting package: Left Hip Extension, left shoulder internal rotation (mobility). These aren't the headline levers, but they raise the floor and make your mechanics easier to execute.
🎯 Your Action Plan
Movement Cues:
"Shin down, leverage, drive — use the ground."
Training Priorities:
General Athletic Development
Well-rounded program: strength, power, mobility, and conditioning. Build the complete athlete.
🚀 What's Next
Hit these targets, re-test, and the system will update the next set of variables to chase. This is iterative — each evaluation narrows the focus as your profile improves. Plan to re-evaluate in 8-12 weeks.

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Achievement Milestones

Evaluated
🎖 Ranked
80+ MPH
🔥 85+ MPH
💪 90+ Club
🏆 Pro Level