Cached Mar 14, 2026 8:44 AM
Ernesto Emilio Carrasco – Player Evaluation Report – TopVelocity.ai
Ernesto Emilio Carrasco

Ernesto Emilio Carrasco

USA 21 years old Born Aug 7, 2004 Eval: Mar 28, 2025
RHP TopVelocity Evaluation
85
Velocity
6'1"
Height
242
Weight
🤖

AI Velocity Analysis

Machine learning prediction based on 1,535 elite athletes

Camp Velocity
85
mph
AI Prediction
80
mph
Based on physical metrics
Difference
+4.8
mph
Above prediction
Proficiency
84
%ile
Mechanics efficiency
💡
What this means: Excellent mechanics - above average efficiency
You're throwing 4.8 mph faster than athletes with similar physical profiles — great mechanics!

💪 Athletic Variables to Improve

Physical metrics that directly impact velocity. Focus on these for maximum gains.

Broad Jump +2.1 mph
Current 94.0" 37%ile
Goal 100.0" 67%ile
Lateral Broad Jump (Combined) +2.0 mph
Current 146.0" 23%ile
Goal 157.0" 53%ile
10-Yard Sprint +1.5 mph
Current 1.660s 53%ile
Goal 1.570s 83%ile

🎯 Biomechanic Variables to Improve

Motion capture metrics from your throwing mechanics analysis.

Arm External Rotation @ MER +1.2 mph
Current 130.0° 6%ile
Goal 184.0° 36%ile
Arm Rotation Speed @ MER +1.1 mph
Current 21.0°/s 2%ile
Goal 1,237.5°/s 32%ile
Top Priority Improvements: +7.9 mph potential → Target: 90 mph
✓ Target of 90 mph is achievable!
You need +5.0 mph to reach your target.
Improving to 90th percentile in the metrics above can provide +7.9 mph.
🎖️

TopVelocity Ranking

Based on the TopVelocity Evaluation System

Current Rank
Unranked
TopV Pro 0/16 metrics
Level 3 2/16 metrics
Level 2 7/16 metrics
Level 1 12/16 metrics
Vertical Jump 34.0 / ≥25.0
Broad Jump 94.0 / ≥102.0
10 Yard Sprint 1.7 / ≤1.8
Total Body Strength 500.0 / ≥500.0
Right Hip Internal Rotation 30.0 / ≥30.0
Left Hip Internal Rotation 30.0 / ≥30.0
Right Hip Extension 20.0 / ≥15.0
Left Hip Extension 20.0 / ≥15.0
Right Hip Flexion 90.0 / ≥80.0
Left Hip Flexion 105.0 / ≥80.0
Right Hip Abduction 40.0 / ≥45.0
Left Hip Abduction 40.0 / ≥45.0
Right Trunk Rotation 70.0 / ≥65.0
Left Trunk Rotation 60.0 / ≥65.0
Right Dorsiflexion 15.0 / ≥10.0
Left Dorsiflexion 15.0 / ≥10.0
📊 Performance Scores (Percentile)
🔄
62
Mobility
💪
66
Shoulder
51
Power
⚖️
67
Balance
🎯
55
Mechanics
🏆
60
Overall
📏

Anthropometric

3 metrics measured

79
Overall
72.5 in
in
Body Height
62th Percentile
Elite (90th): 75.0 in
Difference: -2.5 in
242 lbs
lbs
Body Weight
95th Percentile
Elite (90th): 216 lbs
Difference: ✓ Elite
74.5 in
in
Wing Span
78th Percentile
Elite (90th): 76.0 in
Difference: -1.5 in
🔄

Mobility

23 metrics measured

62
Overall
15 °
°
Right Dorsiflexion
75th Percentile
Elite (90th): 19 °
Difference: -4 °
15 °
°
Left Dorsiflexion
75th Percentile
Elite (90th): 18 °
Difference: -3 °
45 °
°
Right Plantar Flexion
5th Percentile
Elite (90th): 75 °
Difference: -30 °
45 °
°
Left Plantar Flexion
5th Percentile
Elite (90th): 75 °
Difference: -30 °
30 °
°
Right Hip Internal Rotation
50th Percentile
Elite (90th): 40 °
Difference: -10 °
30 °
°
Left Hip Internal Rotation
50th Percentile
Elite (90th): 40 °
Difference: -10 °
40 °
°
Right Hip External Rotation
50th Percentile
Elite (90th): 54 °
Difference: -14 °
50 °
°
Left Hip External Rotation
90th Percentile
Elite (90th): 50 °
Difference: ✓ Elite
20 °
°
Right Hip Extension
62th Percentile
Elite (90th): 25 °
Difference: -5 °
20 °
°
Left Hip Extension
50th Percentile
Elite (90th): 25 °
Difference: -5 °
90 °
°
Right Hip Flexion
75th Percentile
Elite (90th): 95 °
Difference: -5 °
105 °
°
Left Hip Flexion
95th Percentile
Elite (90th): 95 °
Difference: ✓ Elite
40 °
°
Right Hip Abduction
25th Percentile
Elite (90th): 51 °
Difference: -11 °
40 °
°
Left Hip Abduction
25th Percentile
Elite (90th): 52 °
Difference: -12 °
55 °
°
Right Shoulder Internal Rotation
64th Percentile
Elite (90th): 70 °
Difference: -15 °
75 °
°
Left Shoulder Internal Rotation
85th Percentile
Elite (90th): 80 °
Difference: -5 °
135 °
°
Right Shoulder External Rotation
96th Percentile
Elite (90th): 120 °
Difference: ✓ Elite
105 °
°
Left Shoulder External Rotation
70th Percentile
Elite (90th): 115 °
Difference: -10 °
30 °
°
Right Shoulder Horizontal Abduction
75th Percentile
Elite (90th): 35 °
Difference: -5 °
30 °
°
Left Shoulder Horizontal Abduction
75th Percentile
Elite (90th): 35 °
Difference: -5 °
65 °
°
Trunk Extension
95th Percentile
Elite (90th): 50 °
Difference: ✓ Elite
70 °
°
Right Trunk Rotation
75th Percentile
Elite (90th): 75 °
Difference: -5 °
60 °
°
Left Trunk Rotation
50th Percentile
Elite (90th): 70 °
Difference: -10 °
💪

Strength & Power

10 metrics measured

51
Overall
34.0 in
in
Vertical Jump
95th Percentile
Elite (90th): 30.0 in
Difference: ✓ Elite
94 in
in
Broad Jump
43th Percentile
Elite (90th): 108 in
Difference: -14 in
72 in
in
Right Lateral Broad Jump
25th Percentile
Elite (90th): 86 in
Difference: -14 in
74 in
in
Left Lateral Broad Jump
33th Percentile
Elite (90th): 86 in
Difference: -12 in
1.660 s
s
10 Yard Sprint
5th Percentile
Elite (90th): 1.880 s
Difference: -0.220 s
500 lbs
lbs
Total Body Strength
75th Percentile
Elite (90th): 600 lbs
Difference: -100 lbs
130 lbs
lbs
Right Grip Strength
89th Percentile
Elite (90th): 130 lbs
Difference: -0 lbs
120 lbs
lbs
Left Grip Strength
79th Percentile
Elite (90th): 130 lbs
Difference: -10 lbs
437 W
W
Right Rotational Power
16th Percentile
Elite (90th): 973 W
Difference: -536 W
592 W
W
Left Rotational Power
50th Percentile
Elite (90th): 909 W
Difference: -317 W
⚖️

Balance

6 metrics measured

67
Overall
23 in
in
Right Y-Balance 1
25th Percentile
Elite (90th): 36 in
Difference: -13 in
47 in
in
Right Y-Balance 2
90th Percentile
Elite (90th): 47 in
Difference: ✓ Elite
37 in
in
Right Y-Balance 3
70th Percentile
Elite (90th): 46 in
Difference: -9 in
26 in
in
Left Y-Balance 1
50th Percentile
Elite (90th): 37 in
Difference: -11 in
38 in
in
Left Y-Balance 2
75th Percentile
Elite (90th): 46 in
Difference: -8 in
47 in
in
Left Y-Balance 3
90th Percentile
Elite (90th): 47 in
Difference: ✓ Elite
🎯

Shoulder Strength

4 metrics measured

66
Overall
175 °
°
Right Shoulder Flexion
18th Percentile
Elite (90th): 209 °
Difference: -34 °
46 lbs
lbs
Right Shoulder Internal Rotation Strength
75th Percentile
Elite (90th): 55 lbs
Difference: -9 lbs
49 lbs
lbs
Right Shoulder External Rotation Strength
90th Percentile
Elite (90th): 49 lbs
Difference: ✓ Elite
33 lbs
lbs
Scaption Right Back
81th Percentile
Elite (90th): 36 lbs
Difference: -3 lbs
⚙️

Mechanics

15 metrics measured

55
Overall
11 °
°
Hip Shoulder Separation Before Leg Drive
58th Percentile
Elite (90th): 21 °
Difference: -10 °
24 °
°
Trunk Flexion Before Leg Drive
41th Percentile
Elite (90th): 32 °
Difference: -8 °
62 °
°
Drive Knee Extension Before Leg Drive
55th Percentile
Elite (90th): 70 °
Difference: -8 °
55 °
°
Left Knee Flexion Front Foot Strike
78th Percentile
Elite (90th): 58 °
Difference: -3 °
98 °
°
Dominate Arm External Rotation Front Foot Strike
90th Percentile
Elite (90th): 97 °
Difference: ✓ Elite
25 °
°
Dominate Arm Shoulder Abduction Front Foot Strike
23th Percentile
Elite (90th): 45 °
Difference: -20 °
786 °/s
°/s
Pelvis Rotation Speed Front Foot Strike
95th Percentile
Elite (90th): 673 °/s
Difference: ✓ Elite
970 °/s
°/s
Trunk Rotation Speed Front Foot Strike
95th Percentile
Elite (90th): 756 °/s
Difference: ✓ Elite
130 °
°
Dominate Arm External Rotation Maximum External Rotation
9th Percentile
Elite (90th): 184 °
Difference: -54 °
7 °
°
Dominate Arm Shoulder Abduction Maximum External Rotation
84th Percentile
Elite (90th): 9 °
Difference: -2 °
21 °/s
°/s
Dominate Arm External Rotation Speed Maximum External Rotation
4th Percentile
Elite (90th): 1238 °/s
Difference: -1216 °/s
42 °
°
Trunk Flexion Ball Release
90th Percentile
Elite (90th): 42 °
Difference: ✓ Elite
102 °
°
Dominate Arm Shoulder Abduction Ball Release
81th Percentile
Elite (90th): 105 °
Difference: -3 °
-24 °
°
Dominate Arm Shoulder Horizontal Abduction Ball Release
16th Percentile
Elite (90th): -2 °
Difference: -22 °
26 °
°
Dominate Arm Extension Ball Release
5th Percentile
Elite (90th): 70 °
Difference: -44 °

Pitch Metrics

4 metrics measured

67
Overall
17 in
in
Vertical Break
62th Percentile
Elite (90th): 20 in
Difference: -3 in
12 in
in
Horizontal Break
80th Percentile
Elite (90th): 14 in
Difference: -2 in
1806 rpm
rpm
Total Spin
38th Percentile
Elite (90th): 2178 rpm
Difference: -372 rpm
85 mph
mph
Total Velocity
86th Percentile
Elite (90th): 86 mph
Difference: -1 mph
🎯

Brent Pourciau's Analysis

Road to 90

Personalized roadmap for Ernesto Emilio Carrasco

📊 The Overview
Alright Ernesto, here's your Road to 90. You're currently sitting at 85 mph, which means you need about 5.0 mph to hit your target of 90. Your overall profile is solid at the 60th percentile. There are clear opportunities to improve, and targeting the right ones will get you to 90.
🤖 What The AI Analysis Tells Me
Ernesto, here's what jumps out at me — you're throwing 85 mph, but based on your physical profile, our AI model predicted you'd be around 80.2 mph. That's a +4.8 mph difference, which tells me your mechanics and motor patterns are already working in your favor. You're squeezing more velocity out of your body than most athletes with similar builds. That's a huge positive.
Your mechanics efficiency is at the 84th percentile — that's excellent. You're converting your athleticism into velocity very well. There may be small refinements we can make, but the big wins will come from improving your physical profile.
🎯 Your Biggest Opportunities
Based on the AI analysis, here are your biggest opportunities to add velocity:
Broad Jump +2.1 mph
Current: 94.0" (37th %ile) Target: 100.0" (67th %ile)
Why it matters: Your broad jump is one of the best predictors of pitching velocity because it measures your ability to produce horizontal force — exactly what you need off the mound.
How we fix it: The Stride Excelerator is perfect for this — it trains the exact horizontal force production pattern you use in your delivery. Combine that with plyometrics, bounds, and the TopVelocity Sled for resisted stride work.
Lateral Broad Jump +2.0 mph
Current: 146.0" (23th %ile) Target: 157.0" (53th %ile)
Why it matters: This measures your lateral power — critical because pitching involves a massive lateral push off the rubber before you rotate.
How we fix it: The Stride Excelerator trains this lateral drive pattern specifically. Combine it with lateral bounds and the TopVelocity Sled for lateral resisted work.
10-Yard Sprint +1.5 mph
Current: 1.7s (53th %ile) Target: 1.6s (83th %ile)
Why it matters: Your 10-yard sprint measures acceleration — first-step explosiveness. Pitching is all about that initial burst of power, not sustained speed.
How we fix it: The TopVelocity Sled is built for this — resisted sprints that develop first-step explosiveness. The 3X Program includes specific sprint protocols to improve your acceleration.
These three priorities alone = +5.6 mph potential
⚙️ The Mechanical Side
The AI also identified some mechanical variables from your motion capture data. There's about +2.3 mph worth of mechanical improvements available. These are things like trunk rotation speed, pelvis rotation, and arm timing — exactly what the 3X Pitching Velocity Program is designed to fix. The Trunk Excelerator specifically trains that rotational sequencing, and the Stride Excelerator grooves the lower half mechanics. This is where the real velocity unlocks.
🏆 Can You Hit Your Target?
Here's the best part — the math works. You need +5.0 mph to hit 90, and the improvements above give you +7.9 mph of potential. This is achievable. It's not going to happen overnight, but if you commit to the training and stay consistent, 90 mph is absolutely in reach.
🚀 My Recommendation
Based on everything I'm seeing here, here's what I recommend: The 3X Pitching Velocity Program is exactly what you need. This isn't just a throwing program — it's a complete system that addresses mechanics, strength, power, and motor learning all in one. You've got some physical development to do, and the 3X Program includes the strength and power protocols to build that foundation while you're learning elite mechanics. To accelerate your results, I highly recommend using the TopVelocity training devices that are built into the program: The Trunk Excelerator teaches you to generate and transfer rotational power through your core — this is where velocity lives. The Stride Excelerator builds explosive leg drive and proper stride mechanics, which is the foundation of the 3X approach. The Impulse Ground Force Trainer develops your ability to create force into the ground, and the TopVelocity Sled builds the specific strength patterns you need for a powerful delivery. These aren't gimmicks — they're tools designed to train the exact movement patterns that separate high-velocity pitchers from everyone else. Combine them with the 3X Program and you'll see results faster than training alone.
💪 Your Top Physical Priorities
The two biggest physical drivers for you right now are broad jump and Body Height. Together, these account for about 0.5 mph of your velocity gap.
Broad Jump +0.5 mph
Current 94 in
Percentile 44th
Target 102 in
To Gain +8 in
Body Height +0 mph
Current 72.5 in
Percentile 63th
Target 72.8 in
To Gain +0.3 in
🔧 Supporting Work
After that, it's about the supporting package: Left Hip Abduction, left hip internal rotation (mobility), Left Lateral Broad Jump (power/stability). These aren't the headline levers, but they raise the floor and make your mechanics easier to execute.
⚙️ Mechanical Focus
Mechanically, the key focus is Dominate Arm External Rotation Maximum External Rotation and Dominate Arm External Rotation Speed Maximum External Rotation. Most of the energy to the ball comes through the trunk, so trunk acceleration and sequencing are the big rocks to move.
Dominate Arm External Rotation Maximum External Rotation +1 mph
Current Percentile 10th
🎯 Your Action Plan
Movement Cues:
"Shin down, leverage, drive — use the ground."
Training Priorities:
Explosive Power
Jump training (box jumps, bounds) + Olympic lift progressions (cleans, hang cleans). Train fast to be fast.
🚀 What's Next
Hit these targets, re-test, and the system will update the next set of variables to chase. This is iterative — each evaluation narrows the focus as your profile improves. Plan to re-evaluate in 8-12 weeks.

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Achievement Milestones

Evaluated
🎖 Ranked
80+ MPH
🔥 85+ MPH
💪 90+ Club
🏆 Pro Level